polls 結果共61筆

Former legislator Julian Kuo warns that the DPP presidential candidate Lai Ching-te may struggle to secure over 50% of the vote in Tainan due to recent scandals. Kuo criticizes the DPP for ＂fueling moral panic＂ to gain electoral support but suggests that this strategy may not be effective in 2024. Despite leading in most polls, Lai’s lead over KMT candidate Hou Yu-ih is narrowing. Kuo points out that if the DPP continues to rely on Tainan as a decisive battleground, Lai could become the party’s presidential candidate with the lowest vote tally in the region. The scandals mentioned include illegal dumping of slag on farmlands in 2015, Cihji Temple head shootings in Syuejia, and the solar panel controversy in Cigu last year, all involving local officials associated with the DPP. While Kuo predicts Tainan will be critical in the 2024 election, legislator Lin Chun-hsien expects Lai Ching-te to win at least 60% of the vote there, highlighting a divide in expectations within the party.

The Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) campaign headquarters head, Huang Shan-shan, revealed internal polling data on the TPP’s Ko-Ying ticket, claiming they rank second in the presidential race. The Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) Lai-Hsiao ticket leads with a 29.9% support rate, followed closely by the Ko-Ying ticket at 27.6%, with the Kuomintang’s (KMT) Hou-Kang ticket trailing at 24.3%. However, this tactic was criticized by Shih Hsin University communications professor Yu Tzu-hsiang, who accused Huang of engaging in propaganda. Professor Yu suggested that the KMT’s unified force has gained momentum, contrasting with TPP candidate Ko Wen-je’s declining support after the failed KMT-TPP coalition. Yu argued that Ko should focus on vigorous campaign activities to garner public and media attention rather than relying on internal polls.

Kuomintang Chairman Eric Chu announces a narrow margin of 0.2% between the KMT’s Hou-Kang ticket and the DPP’s Lao-Hsiao ticket in the latest internal polls. Chu expresses confidence in the KMT’s ability to gain ground against the DPP. He defends the rights of non-ruling parties in Taiwan’s democratic system and criticizes attempts to confiscate opposition parties’ assets by the Ill-gotten Party Assets Settlement Committee. Chu challenges TPP candidate Ko Wen-je to assist in returning assets to retired party workers. Chu responds to Ko’s labeling of KMT candidate Hou Yu-ih as ＂pro-unification in a hurry with China＂ by asserting that anyone not supporting independence is unfairly tagged as pro-unification by the DPP.

The latest presidential poll reveals that the Ko-Ying ticket of the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) is projected to secure between 2.535 million to 2.726 million votes. My Formosa Chairman Wu Tzu-chia described these numbers as ＂terrifying.＂ The Lai-Hsiao ticket of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is estimated to receive a vote share of 40.6 percent to 42.7 percent, translating to 5.534 million to 5.820 million votes. The Hou-Kang ticket of the Kuomintang (KMT) is expected to garner 38.6% to 39.6% of the vote, amounting to 5.261 million to 5.398 million votes. The Ko-Ying ticket is anticipated to achieve a vote percentage of 18.6% to 20.0%. Wu emphasized that TPP’s presidential candidate Ko Wen-je holds nearly 3 million votes, which could influence the election’s outcome. Ko’s popularity surged after launching the ’KP Show,’ causing DPP candidate Lai Ching-te’s polling numbers to decrease by nearly two percentage points from 40%. Wu acknowledged the remarkable shift of young voters aligning with Ko Wen-je instead of the KMT.

The Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) announced that its presidential candidate, Wen-je Ko, and running mate, Cynthia Wu, received 27.6% support in the latest party polls. The Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim led the race with 29.9% backing, with 50.1% of respondents believing they would win the election. The Kuomintang (KMT) duo of Hou Yu-ih and Jaw Shaw-kong trailed behind with a 24.3% support rate, and 17.9% predicted their victory. In terms of party support, the KMT led with 26%, followed closely by the TPP at 25.7%, and the DPP lagging at 23.5%. The poll had a confidence level of 95.0% and a margin of error of approximately ±2.75%, based on a valid sample size of 1,216 people. The sampling method targeted adults over 20 across all 22 counties and cities, with landline samples sourced from Chunghwa Telecom’s directory and mobile numbers generated randomly.

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je’s wife, Peggy Chen, openly challenged the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) on December 9th, expressing her willingness to face legal consequences if sued. Chen’s challenge followed her questioning the integrity of the Premier and the Minister of the Interior on Facebook, alleging their deliberate obstruction of the approval process for the Taipei Dome project during Ko’s tenure as Taipei City Mayor in October of the previous year. During an event in Taichung City’s Dali District, Chen boldly stated, ＂If the DPP wants to sue, then sue me!＂ She emphasized that her information came directly from Ko himself and assured that she had made efforts to verify the claims. When asked about the recent decline in Ko’s support according to polls, Chen simply responded, ＂Just keep working hard.＂

Join a panel of experts for ＂Taiwan Goes to The Polls,＂ an insightful English-language discussion on Dec. 13, analyzing the dynamics of Taiwan’s 2024 presidential election and its global implications. Register now for the event in Taipei.

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je declared that the election outcome remains uncertain and that the race will transform into a civic movement. Ko argued for amendments to the Assisted Reproduction Act, expressing concern that only the wealthy would be able to afford assisted reproduction procedures abroad. He hinted at a grassroots approach for the upcoming election, drawing parallels to the Sunflower Movement. Ko revealed his campaign staff’s advice to conduct rolling polls and release new results daily. Given the TPP’s limited campaign budget, Ko mentioned opting for cost-effective alternatives such as studio rentals for live streams and recordings. University students suggested Ko should be more cautious with his public remarks and intensify flash campaign events, but Ko reassured them with a message of mutual perseverance.

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je criticized his opponents for delaying the upcoming presidential debate, stating that there’s no need for it to be like the Roman Colosseum, but also no need for deceit. Ko expressed confidence that the TPP still had a chance to turn the tide in the election and suggested that current data indicated a situation ripe for an upset. He criticized his opponents’ debate strategy as one of delay and avoidance, aiming to strip the debate of any real conflict.

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je criticizes a return to the clash between the Kuomintang (KMT) and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), arguing that it would result in a victory for the DPP. Ko’s comments were made during an agriculture policy press conference, as support for KMT candidates Hou Yu-ih and Jaw Shaw-kong grows in polls. Ko questions whether Taiwan truly desires a return to a polarized political axis and highlights that 60% of the population supports maintaining the status quo. He appeals to the youth demographic to consider moving away from the blue-green divide and towards a new political and cultural era.

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je admitted in a livestream interview that his handling of the split with the Kuomintang (KMT) was not managed well, leading to his lagging position in multiple polls. Facing a widening gap with his second-ranked rival, Ko expressed his determination to ＂reset and restart＂ his campaign. He confessed to living with regret every day since his decision to run for Taipei mayor in 2014. Ko emphasized that the key outcome will be determined on election day and voiced frustration over unjust accusations linking him to the negative impacts of Terry Gou’s influence. Ko seeks to secure a total of 10 seats for the TPP and highlighted the necessity of obtaining at least 5.5 million votes to win the presidency. He likened Taiwan’s position in U.S.-China relations to navigating a delicate mother-in-law relationship, underscoring the need for effective communication. Despite fierce competition from the KMT and Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), Ko pledges to continue his fight for the presidency until the end.

The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) responded to allegations from the Kuomintang (KMT) that DPP vice presidential candidate Hsiao Bi-khim was excessively pro-American. Chen Shi-kai, spokesperson for DPP presidential candidate Lai Ching-te’s campaign office, criticized the KMT for its lack of understanding of economic trade issues and Taiwan-U.S. relations. The KMT, led by legislator candidate Hsu Chiao-hsin, accused Hsiao of being subservient to the U.S. during her time in Washington, citing a classified communication log documenting a bilateral meeting discussing the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity proposed by U.S. President Joe Biden. Chen defended Hsiao by highlighting recent milestones in Taiwan-U.S. cooperation, such as the signing of the Taiwan-U.S. 21st Century Trade Initiative and efforts to resolve double taxation issues. Chen criticized the KMT candidate for illegally disclosing classified documents for political gain and called for an explanation of the motives and authenticity of the disclosure. This defense by the DPP spokesperson reflects the tensions leading up to Taiwan’s presidential elections, with U.S.-Taiwan relations remaining a significant political issue. The political drama highlights the intensity of Taiwan’s electioneering, where U.S. ties and Taiwan’s global economic positioning are crucial issues for voters. The impact of these debates on public opinion remains to be seen as Taiwan prepares for the polls.

The latest poll by Formosa Magazine reveals that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is leading the 2024 Taiwan presidential race, with the Kuomintang (KMT) trailing with approximately 30% support, and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) at the bottom. Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim, the DPP presidential candidates, have an approval rating of 36.3%, while the KMT contenders, Hou Yu-ih and Jaw Shaw-Kong, hold a 31.0% approval rating. Ko Wen-je and Cynthia Wu of the TPP secured an 18% support rate. In terms of party support, 32.4% of respondents favored the DPP to continue governing, 28.9% supported the KMT taking the reins, and 14.8% backed the TPP to lead. When asked about an alternation of ruling parties, 37.8% favored voting for the opposition party with the highest polls, while 51.4% disagreed. The poll also examined negative sentiments towards the candidates, with 33.3% least wanting to see Lai Ching-te become president, followed by Ko Wen-je at 23.8% and Hou Yu-ih at 16.4%. Among committed supporters, 20.5% declared unwavering support for the Lai-Hsiao ticket, while Hou and Jaw received 20.0%, and Ko and Wu had 9.1%. However, 41.9% of voters did not pledge strong allegiance to any candidate. The poll, conducted from Nov. 24 to Nov. 28, 2023, used the Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI) method and successfully interviewed 1,476 people with a 95% confidence level.

Ko Wen-je, the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate, criticized the Kuomintang (KMT) for prioritizing the presidency and failing to consider alternative options. He expressed his willingness to compromise but emphasized the need for a strong alliance among opposition parties. Ko cited an experts’ meeting that favored his ticket over the KMT’s. He accused the KMT of misrepresenting his intentions and failing to reflect public opinion. Despite the temporary split between the KMT and TPP, Ko remains confident that the 2024 political turnover can be achieved. He thanked Terry Gou for withdrawing from the presidential race and acknowledged his running mate Cynthia Wu’s commitment to charitable work. Ko pledged to stay steadfast in the face of challenges and believed in the power of the people to deepen democratic reform.

The latest survey by the Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation (TPOF) reveals that the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) has become the largest party in Taiwan, with a support rate of 25.3%. This puts them slightly ahead of the Kuomintang (KMT) at 24.8% and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) at 24.5%. The TPP has experienced a significant increase in support, rising by 8.3% in the past month, while the DPP and KMT have seen declines of 2.6% and 1.7% respectively. TPOF chairman Michael You emphasized that this poll marks a historic first in Taiwan’s party politics, with less than one percentage point separating the three parties. This development signifies a remarkable evolution in the political landscape. The TPP has benefitted the most from the ＂Blue-White alliance,＂ which has been seeking a change in ruling parties. With the 2024 presidential election still over a month away, Taiwan’s party competition has entered an unprecedented phase where the three parties are on equal footing. Other political parties such as the New Power Party (NPP) and Taiwan Statebuilding Party (TSP) received 2.9% and 1% support respectively, with 1.8% for other minor parties. Approximately 19.1% of respondents did not express support for any party, while 0.7% were undecided or refused to answer. The survey, conducted from November 19-21, used a dual-frame random sampling method encompassing both landlines and mobile phones.

In a Facebook announcement, Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) candidate Ko Wen-je’s campaign manager Vivian Huang confirmed that Ko will persist as the TPP’s presidential candidate in Taiwan’s 2024 election. Huang had earlier represented the campaign at the Central Election Commission (CEC) to obtain the necessary forms. Ko’s rival candidate, Hou Yu-ih of the Kuomintang (KMT), proposed that both parties publicly review nine opinion polls and broadcast the process live, but Huang dismissed the idea, asserting that the scientific data would not change. Huang emphasized that Ko intended to run as the TPP nominee, even without a formal partnership with the KMT. Ko’s campaign spokesman, Austin Tai, reiterated the unwavering nature of Ko’s candidacy and clarified his current status in the race. While Ko plans to hold campaign meetings with his staff on Thursday, he has no intention of registering at the CEC on that day. Despite the ongoing election fervor, Ko Wen-je remains a steadfast figure in Taiwan’s dynamic political landscape, determined to contest the presidency, whether or not he receives broader coalition support.

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) campaign manager Vivian Huang rejects Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih’s proposal to reconsider polling results. Huang emphasizes the importance of integrity and unification, stating that reevaluating the data would undermine the previous expert meeting. The primary objective is to present the strongest candidate and convince supporters of a fair race. Ko Wen-je questions the rationale behind redoing the evaluations, expressing confusion over the KMT’s approach. Hou suggests appointing polling experts to debate and reassess the nine previous polls.

DPP’s Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim have officially registered for the 2024 presidential election at Taiwan’s Central Election Commission. Get the latest updates on their campaign.

In the midst of Taiwan’s 2024 election preparations, KMT presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih promises to respect TPP candidate Ko Wen-je’s decision, as both parties struggle to finalize a joint ticket amidst disagreements on opinion poll calculations.

Vivian Huang, campaign manager for Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je, has denied rumors of her resignation, stating that she will stay by his side until the end. This comes as the presidential election is approaching in less than two months. Huang emphasized her loyalty to Ko, saying, ＂I’ve fought by Ko’s side for the past three years. What does not kill you makes you stronger!＂ Additionally, the TPP and Kuomintang (KMT) reached a party alliance consensus, with Ko meeting with KMT heavyweights, including party chairman Eric Chu and presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih, with former President Ma Ying-jeou as a witness. Both parties have agreed to use a point-based system to assess public opinion poll results, with three recommended polling experts evaluating the polls from November 7 to November 17, along with two internal polls from the KMT and TPP. The results will be unveiled by the Ma Ying-jeou Foundation on Saturday, ultimately determining the order of the ticket – either Hou and Ko, or Ko and Hou.

The collaborative ＂Hou-Ko＂ candidate ticket in the Taiwan presidential election has received significant support in an online poll conducted by United Daily News. As of Thursday morning, around 320,000 people had voted, with 70% favoring Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih over Taiwan People’s Party’s (TPP) Ko Wen-je. The poll, which lasted 15 days, allowed daily voting and resulted in a coalition between the KMT and the TPP. The collaboration aims to consolidate opposition strength under the presidential candidate with the highest support, as determined by polls and announced by the Ma Ying-jeou Foundation. The results will be publicized on Nov. 18, and both parties will form a campaign committee to endorse their candidates. Under the watch of Ma Ying-jeou, the KMT and TPP pledged to establish a joint government to lead Taiwan’s third wave of democratic reform.

The potential KMT-TPP coalition is shaping Taiwan’s political dialogue, with Ko Wen-je advocating for public coalition talks. Polls show strong support for the KMT-TPP alliance over DPP candidates, with the political landscape poised for change based on Terry Gou’s decision.

The latest poll on potential collaboration between the Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) reveals that 12% of voters believe candidate popularity in polls should be the sole basis for nomination consideration, while 20% think only party capability should be considered. However, the majority, at 47%, believe that both factors should be given equal importance. According to the survey released by the United Daily News, 60% of voters believe the popularity poll results of candidates play a crucial role in deciding the presidential and vice-presidential nominees for the potential KMT-TPP alliance. Other considerations for voters include the parties’ control over legislative seats (49%), popularity polls of the nominating parties (46%), and the ruling parties under their jurisdictions (40%). If the alliance breaks down, 33% of voters would blame the KMT, 28% would blame the TPP, 23% believe both parties are equally responsible, and 16% have no opinion.

Taichung Mayor Lu Shiow-yen expressed her support for a potential ＂Blue-White＂ coalition between the Kuomintang (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) if they can find consensus. With less than two weeks until election registration, the details of this coalition have yet to be finalized. Lu emphasized the urgency of finding a means of cooperation during this critical period. She stated that she is willing to help as long as both parties agree, without insisting on any particular approach. Lu also discussed the limitations of opinion polls in predicting election results, citing her own past election victories despite unfavorable poll numbers. These views were expressed while she was campaigning in Kaohsiung for legislative candidate Chung I-chung.

Fifteen regional leaders of the Kuomintang (KMT) have petitioned for their party to collaborate with the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) for the 2024 elections. The petition expresses support for one of two proposals put forward by KMT Chairman Eric Chu. The presidential and vice presidential candidates would be Hou Yu-ih and Ko Wen-je if the KMT is victorious, or Ko and Hou if the TPP wins. The two systems, based on the Japanese or German model, are determined by comparative polls. The KMT aims to achieve democratic reform in Taiwan through this collaboration to avoid a single dominant party.