Polymarket 結果共5筆

美國總統大選進入倒數階段。預測市場平台Polymarket上，有一位神秘人士，投注超過3千萬美元（約9.5億元新台幣），押川普將成為美國總統，引發關注。《彭博社》先前指出，這位人士擁有法國國籍，具有豐富交易經驗和金融服務背景。該人士近日也接受《華爾街日報》訪問，他聲稱自己無意操控選舉結果，只是為了賺錢而這麼做。

綜合《路透社》與《Forbes》報導，民調顯示川普與賀錦麗在大選中恐出現激烈競爭。但在Polymarket上，兩人的勝率出現分歧，川普以60%的機率大幅領先賀錦麗的40%，創下拜登7月下旬退選以來的新高。其他知名博弈網站也紛紛看好川普，「Betfair」給出58%、「PredictIt」54%、「Smarkets」58%的川普勝選機率。

最新賭盤開出，美國副總統賀錦麗（Kamala Harris）已成為博弈業者看好入主白宮的人選，凸顯她在造勢活動中氣勢正盛，賭盤勝率已超車過去兩週領先的前總統川普。

Yunlin County Police Bureau cracked down on an illegal gambling operation that accepted bets on the outcome of the presidential election using virtual currency. Seventeen bettors were arrested, and police confiscated approximately NT$171,661 in gambling funds. The individuals were arrested for violating the Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act. Eight of those detained were released after questioning, but the remaining nine were retained for further summons. The illicit betting was discovered when the Yunlin police’s internet patrol unit spotted a decentralized betting platform called Polymarket, which had set up betting pools for three presidential candidates. The online players could place bets on event outcomes using USDC, a virtual currency, from their own digital wallets.

2024年總統、立法委員大選進入倒數階段，陸續傳出有選舉賭盤開設，對此警方開度重視，日前雲林縣警警局在網路巡邏時，發現「去中心化預測平台Polymarket」，有開3名總統候選人的賭盤，下注金額已達美金31萬美金，警方發動查緝，逮回17名賭客，並依法就辦。